Top Five Swing Seats 2019

Swing seats, or marginal seats, are hotly contested areas. They are places where the current candidates only won by a very narrow margin in the last election. With this year’s  election  more polarised than ever, these five seats are now up for grabs for all parties.

Top Five Swing seats

Fife North East

The SNP retained this seat in 2017 with a lead of only two votes. Their biggest challenge came from the Liberal Democrats, with both parties leading far ahead of the Tories and Labour. This year the SNP are strongly predicted to keep control of this area.

Perth & Perthshire North

In 2017 the Conservatives made huge gains in this constituency. The SNP managed to hold onto their seat by 21 votes. This year the exit polls are torn directly between the SNP and their Tory challengers. Pete Wishart has held this seat since 2005, and the SNP are confident that he shall win again.

With a prediction of an SNP Whitewash, the national mood has certainly boosted local campaigners’ morale.

Vale of Glamorgan

Conservative MP Alun Cairns held onto this seat for the 2015 and 2017 elections. Exit polls predicted a Conservative hold however a recent scandal involving a party employee who sabotaged a rape trial has left Cairns in a shaky state. He has stepped down as Welsh secretary in the last few days and has refused to apologise to the victim. Labour had been climbing in the polls before this, and voters are now more torn than ever.

Despite being named on the ballots, Plaid Cymru and Lib Dem candidates stopped campaigning in a bid to boost Labour’s chances.

Dudley North

Ian Austin held onto this Labour swing seat in 2017, but only just. The conservatives made huge gains; a trend that is set to continue. Exit polls call the Conservatives to take 58% of the vote here. This comes after Austin quit the Labour party over anti-semitism.

Ceredigion

The results are too close to predict this year according to the exit polls. The battle continues between the Lib Dems and Plaid Cymru who have tussled over the seat in both 2015 and 2017. Last year Ben Lake won, becoming the youngest MP in Wales at the age of 24.

For more information and to compare with your constituency visit the BBC Elections website HERE.